Archive | October, 2006

CPI

Halloween Candy Futures

When I was a kid (I still am for that matter), I remember going from door to door in mother-made Halloween costumes with my two older brothers and my friends around our University of Kansas neighborhood. The door would open and with bright smiles, in unison, we would firmly announce “trick or treat” to the […]

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Currency Fundamentals

Last weeks U.S Fed meeting went off without much fanfare. Chairman Bernanke and his crew of regional fed governors gave the markets what they were expecting, an unchanged target interest rate of 5.25%. It appears U.S rates will remain somewhat stable in the near term. The expectations that other central banks around the globe will […]

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Oats Trade

Oats Trade Recommendation

Oats are typically the leading indicator for the rest of the grain complex and we are simply suggesting the purchase of these slightly out of the money puts that are very cheap. Grains have been rallying for some time now since the harvest moon, and we are seeing signs of exhaustion in grains at this […]

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Japanese Yen

Yen Trade Recommendation

The Japanese Yen has suffered due to Dollar strength in recent months. We are seeing signs that the tide is turning in this market and are positioning long for the balance of this year. The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has recently entered into its own rate hiking cycle and have just recently hinted at another […]

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Gold Futures

Gold Trade Recommendation

The bull market in commodities is far from over, in fact we are really still just getting started in the long run. Look for energies and metals to resume their leadership role in the near term as we close out this calendar year. The FOMC raising rates this calendar year is about as likely as […]

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Cattle Futures

Both Oct live and feeder cattle have roughly one week to expiration and it seems like the market has been waiting for the Cattle on Feed report to pick its direction. Today we will get the first glance of the markets reaction. Barring any significant developments in the corn market, both feeder and live cattle […]

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Metals, Ready to Head Higher

Get ready for the next leg up in the base and precious metals. In the case of base metals, there are none!!! The cupboard is bare as there has been none of the inventory buildup that would be implied by the correction in prices. (more…)

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The Energy Correlation Coefficient

The recent divergence between the stock and bond markets has caused a stir among analysts concerning the direction of the economy. With the Dow hitting new highs, many equity observers have proclaimed a new bull market. Bond market analysts, on the other hand, have seen yields decline, a typical indication of a coming recession. (more…)

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T-Bond Futures

T-Bond Bulls Work to Regain Technical Momentum

December U.S. Treasury bond futures at the Chicago Board of Trade late last week poked to a fresh four-week low of 110 7/32, but have since seen a rebound as bulls are regaining upside technical momentum. Shorter-term oscillators (slow stochastics and Relative Strength Index) are showing bullish readings Tuesday morning. Importantly, last week’s low of […]

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