Archive | October, 2011

october14bond11

Seasonals say buy ’em

High flying equities and optimistic economic data helped to push yields higher and Treasuries lower on Friday. Although the week tends to end with counter trend moves, each of the financial markets experienced price changes in the direction of recent trade. There could be many explanations for this, but the incredibly light volume leads us […]

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Less Could be More

My suggestion is do your research and put on smaller positions and participate in less trading as the volatility can clean traders out if they trade the same as they did in times past. As of this post Crude is higher by 3.5% trading to its highest price in one month and above the down […]

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The Sidelines is a Position

Bulls make money on up moves while bears make money on down moves but when market action is sloppy and unpredictable those on the sidelines may have the correct trade on. While they do not make money they do not lose either. Crude failed to break the trend line again today and appears to be […]

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Targets Obtained

It is important when initiating trades to have targets. You will notice that we try to give price objectives when establishing long and short positions for our clients in most trades. After five positive sessions Crude looks like we will see a negative close with prices settling just above the 40 day MA. Taking a […]

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Increased Volatility

Large swings continue and are likely here to stay so be willing to endure larger swings when trading or be willing not to trade. Those are your options as I see it. We are seeing swings in a number of markets in a few days time which in years past took several weeks or in […]

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NFP Influence

The fact that we did not have a dire jobs number influenced markets today. We continue to think money goes back into commodities and stocks in the weeks to come…trade accordingly. Crude continues to bump up against resistance at the 50% Fibonacci level and as of this post is in the middle or today’s range […]

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Risk Appetite

Investor appetite for risk has increased as money is flowing back into securities and commodities. Crude has advanced $7.50 off its lows from Tuesday so clearly there is buying interest but we would like to see the ascent slow or even a re-test of the 9 day MA to feel confident a further move is […]

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Commodities & Stocks are Back

We expect to see further appreciation in stocks and select commodities in the immediate future. That being said we see money coming out of safe havens ( dollars and Treasuries) and back to risk assets at least for a few weeks. It is about time some appreciation…Crude is higher as of this post by just […]

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Thanks for the Help Benny

Money flows out of safe havens and back into risk assets. Far from a victory but this could be the beginning of what I’ve been calling for in recent weeks. We’ve had a rough go of it being we’ve been buying on the way down for clients but if we start to recover from here […]

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All about Safety

Money is fleeing risk assets, i.e. commodities and stocks and finding its way to Treasuries and the US dollar. Our take is some type of intervention or plan will halt further appreciation in Treasuries and the dollar and prevent a complete price collapse in the stock and commodity markets…stay tuned. Oil is approaching its lows […]

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