Archive | January, 2012

The January Effect

With one month under our belt how is your 2012 looking? RBOB, OJ, stocks, feeder cattle and all the metals were the upside movers in the month of January while natural gas was the only negative standout. Will these moves set the tone for trading in 2012? The move lower has been minor but Crude […]

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If Equities Fall

Over the next few sessions we will know but we may see some gains given back in equities as minor chart damage is being done. That being said expect higher trade in Treasuries and commodities on a stock retraction. Crude continues to flirt with $100 unable to pick a direction. The longer this consolidation pattern […]

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More Quantitative Easing

With the Fed hinting at more quantitative easing do not expect commodities to get inexpensive any time soon. Crude oil has made a higher high now for the last three sessions and on a close back above $100 traders could start scaling back into longs. I see support at $99 followed by $97 in March […]

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Looking Ahead

Fed meeting this week as well as any new developments out of Europe. My suggestion is to always look one-two weeks in advance for upcoming economic events when initiating trades. Just when it appears Crude was destined to move lower prices reversed finishing 1.65% higher today. $1oo appears to be a magnet for pricing and […]

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Early Standouts

It is still very early in the year but let me point out a few standouts ytd. Natural gas is lower by 22%, silver is higher by 15%, cotton higher by 7%, OJ is at record high up 24%, wheat is lower by 8.5% just to name a few. Crude is trading just below $98.50 […]

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A Straight Line

Nothing included markets move in a straight line…stocks will not move higher in a straight line nor will natural gas move lower…all things must come to an end. I am still in a holding pattern waiting for direction in Crude oil. We’re still experiencing a tug of war in the distillates as RBOB was lower […]

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Tortoise or Hare

Every investor has a different strategy but slow and steady sometime wins the race. The idea is to be consistent and take small losses and let profits run…easier said than done. For three weeks now Crude has been stuck in a $5 trading range and this looks to continue. Today prices reversed mid-day to close […]

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Back to Work

After a long weekend the markets are back to normal trading hours. Crude will finish just shy of 2% higher but will not retake the 9 day MA; in March at $101.25. I have advised the sidelines thinking we remain in the $10 range and do no wish to establish a position being we started […]

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Friday the 13th

The day is not over but I have not had any strange things happen to me that are typical of this date. I’ll let you know next week if I made it the whole day. Crude failed to make a new high this week closing roughly $5 from its highs. Prices failed at the same […]

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Commodity Grind

There was little to no big moves just the status qou. Crude turned down today trading down over 2% as of this post. If we see a settlement below $100 I will turn bearish. Next support is seen at $98 followed by $93 on the February contract. Natural gas gave up another 2% today taking […]

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