Archive | January, 2014

Cotton Futures

Cotton – China’s Appetite Should be Absent

Since establishing a bottom on 11/22 cotton prices have appreciated 14% yesterday trading to their highest levels since 8/20. While past performance is not indicative of future results you can clearly see a pattern on the chart below that prices in the high 80’s appears to be unsustainable? I am operating under the influence that […]

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Live Cattle Futures chart for January 20, 2014

Option Queen Letter

What Bitcoin the ETF!!!!! We are hearing that the Winklevoss twins have filed with the SEC for the Winklevoss Bitcoin Trust. In case you have forgotten, the Winklevoss twins enjoyed fame regarding their legal tangle with Mark Zuckerberg regarding Facebook. Tulips anyone? N’uff said! Leading up to the financial crisis of Lehman Bros….cattle cost an […]

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Live Cattle Futures chart for January 17, 2014

Fat Cattle need to go on a Diet

Record high after record high with April live cattle trading near $140 yesterday before stalling. The red horizontal line drawn on the chart below serves as my line in the sand. It will take a settlement below $139 to confirm an interim top. Ultimately I see futures on this contract trading back to the trend […]

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Sugar Futures chart for January 16, 2014

Four Soft Commodities – The Forgotten Sector

I track and follow approximately 50 different commodities and I must say that the softs sector where I do a fair bit of trading for clients is ignored too much in my opinion. In this piece I am going to briefly touch on four soft commodities that I track and trade with clients. Below you […]

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Crude oil futures chart, January 15, 2014

Crude oil – Holding Support Lets Get Involved

Since putting in an interim top on 12/27 just below $101/barrel WTI futures have retraced losing almost $10/barrel. The first red horizontal line is seen on March futures near $91.50 and under that level support comes in at $90. It will take a settlement above the 8 day MA(orange line) for confirmation which I expect […]

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Soybean oil futures chart for January 9, 2013

Picking a Bottom in Ags – Soybean oil

The story for months has been slack demand for Agriculture and increasing global production. Hence wheat currently trading under three year lows and corn trading under 2 year lows. Soybean oil has not escaped the black cloud that has been hanging over this sector either as seen on chart below clearly there has been a […]

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Natural Gas Futures chart for January 8, 2014

As weather abates will Natural Gas respond?

I’ve pointed this out several times in recent weeks but a sleeping giant was awoken 9 weeks ago. Natural gas has been on a tear from early November adding $1 move in the futures market from the first week of November until peaking in Mid-December just above $4.50. In the last two weeks February has […]

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Coffee Futures chart of January 3, 2014

Coffee Getting support from the Funds

As of this post coffee prices are higher by 4.44% with prices approaching previous resistance just below the 50 day MA (light blue line) that was challenged last week. Prices appear to be on the rise as money managers bought the dip this week when prices were trading near three weeks lows. I anticipate funds piling into coffee longs next week buying upwards of 10,000 contracts as they re-balance their positions at the […]

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