Tag Archives | Federal Open Market Committee

30 Year US Treasury Bond Futures

Treasury Complex on its Heels

US Treasury futures are lower for the third day running amid fresh signs of economic expansion, putting the yield of the benchmark 10-yr Notes on the cusp of rising above 3% for the first time in 2 years. According to ADP today the US added 176,000 jobs in August. A key gauge of the US […]

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US 30 Year Treasuries (T-Bond), July 27, 2013

Whippy action in the Treasuries complex

Energy: Crude oil will close under its 18 day MA but on its highs we failed at the 8 day MA. I remain bearish but did have some clients lighten up as not to be short large size over the weekend. I still think a trade under $100/barrel is in the near future. On higher […]

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Crude Oil Approaching $100/Barrel…Not this Time

In the last 10 weeks Crude oil has added $12/barrel lifting prices as of this post to four month highs with August futures flirting with the $100/barrel level. Not that the fundamentals have mattered in the energy complex but Crude oil inventories are at the highest levels they’ve been in years. For the last 10 […]

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Swiss Franc, Play a Retracement

Since putting in a bottom on 5/22 at 1.0186 the Swiss franc has appreciated 6.5%…as of last week lifting futures to four month highs. I am operating under the influence an interim high way reached last week at 1.0962. Let the Fibonacci levels on the chart below guide you on this trade as I am […]

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IMF vs US Fiscal Policy. Will the FED weigh in this week at FOMC meeting?

Global Economic Calendar Week of June 16th, 2013 DATA HIGHPOINTS FOR THE WEEK: —US FOMC Meeting & Rate Announcement…UK, USA CPI Data…Eurozone, German ZEW Economic Sentiment Index…Release of UK BOE (Bank of England) Monetary Policy Committee meeting minutes… UK Retail Sales… US Markets Quadruple Witching. Data release times are in GMT or specified US EST […]

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NOB Spread, A Contrarian Play

When the boat is leaning one way I generally prefer to be on the other side. Do I think the 33 year bull market is over in Treasuries…the simple answer is yes but in the short run I think the debt complex has gotten ahead of itself and we get a rebound from current levels. […]

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