Archive | traders

Silver – A 7% Reversal as of this Post…Today

In the last 9 months one could have born a child and within that same time frame silver prices are lower by 44%. Bears have been in the driver’s seat with a few exceptions but is that about to change? Can you say R-E-V-E-R-S-A-L? At 8pm last evening est. September silver futures were trading at […]

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S&P Game Changer

Could a breach of the 50 day MA (dark blue line) at 1610 today be a game changer? As seen on the chart below that level has acted as support an all attempts in recent weeks. I am a believer that a settlement under this pivot point confirms an interim top and we are preceded […]

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Crude Oil Approaching $100/Barrel…Not this Time

In the last 10 weeks Crude oil has added $12/barrel lifting prices as of this post to four month highs with August futures flirting with the $100/barrel level. Not that the fundamentals have mattered in the energy complex but Crude oil inventories are at the highest levels they’ve been in years. For the last 10 […]

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Swiss Franc, Play a Retracement

Since putting in a bottom on 5/22 at 1.0186 the Swiss franc has appreciated 6.5%…as of last week lifting futures to four month highs. I am operating under the influence an interim high way reached last week at 1.0962. Let the Fibonacci levels on the chart below guide you on this trade as I am […]

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Natural Gas Bargain Hunting

September natural gas futures are lower by 13.1% in the last 3 weeks and lower by 15.9% from their highs made on 5/1. As it stands futures are just under their 61.8% Fibonacci level (lower white jagged line) and attempting to trade back above the 8 day MA (orange line). Stochastics indicate an oversold market […]

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Cocoa Shows Short-term Chart Damage

Cocoa has been kind to speculators of late as we we’re fortunate to catch a few trades. Will three times be a charm? From here it appears prices could be headed south. In the previous two weeks September futures bounced off the 61.8% Fibonacci levels gaining eight consecutive days’ elevating futures 8%. Today will likely […]

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NOB Spread, A Contrarian Play

When the boat is leaning one way I generally prefer to be on the other side. Do I think the 33 year bull market is over in Treasuries…the simple answer is yes but in the short run I think the debt complex has gotten ahead of itself and we get a rebound from current levels. […]

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Corn/Soybean Ratio Spread

Relative (ratio spread) trades can work if one commodity moves in the proper direction big and the other does not move at all, both underlying commodities move in the correct direction small but consider this two separate trades and the misconception that spread trades are less risky than an outright is flawed in my eyes. […]

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