Janet Yellen composed her words in a more dovish tone to counterbalance the previous hawkish comments from some FED officials and a new sell off on the US dollar took the currency to a new low on the following sessions. On Friday the nonfarm payroll increased more than expected and the 0.1% higher labor force […]
The FOMC signaled a slower pace of normalization saying that interest rates will be hiked two times instead of the previous announced four times adjustment. While it seemed that the marketplace had priced fewer increases the reaction of the USD proved the contrary with the Dollar Index sharply falling to test the levels seen in […]
China will to eventually run bigger budget deficits giving not to let GDP growth fall much more and to keep its objective to reach higher per capita income – shadowing Moody’s lower credit outlook of the country’s debt. A more benign macro environment encouraged investors to buy risky assets expecting further help from Central Bankers […]
The focus of the financial markets will be on the communication of the FOMC this coming Wednesday after a week of negative performance of risky assets that seemed to be related to investors doing the final positioning for the first interest rate hike since 2006. Equities on both sides of the Atlantic tumbled in the […]
Weather all over again One more FED official stated that the interest rate increase until the year end is expected, mentioning also that it is not a commitment and dependable on the global economy – more of the same, make the lift-off still unknown. Many economists believe a 2015 hike is possible, but a good […]
Have we seen the lows? Janet Yellen (two weeks ago) tried to calm down the markets saying that she and most of the FOMC expect a liftoff in 2015, but the growth revision of the Chinese GDP and Friday’s US job number have made investors skeptical about a rate hike this year still. The change […]
Clearly the trend has been lower in sugar for the last two years with futures currently trading nearly half the value they were trading at 25 months ago. It does appear that we are consolidating just above the 16 cent level and we may have found an interim bottom. Within the last few weeks futures […]
The easy money has been made on November soybeans longs in my opinion. I am not calling for a top and do think futures will work higher but the risk is increased as futures have advanced 19% in the last three weeks lifting futures near 11 month highs. Perhaps a better play is buying other […]
In the last 18 months as one can see on the chart below sugar has been trending lower depreciating 30% dragging futures to their lowest levels in three years. There is no denying the direction of the trend and until we see prices retake the down sloping trend line we are grasping at straws. However […]
