Tag: forex
-
CAD – The Loonie has a Broken Wing
I hate to date myself here but as a young man I was very fond of the video game duck hunt- a “classic” shooting game for the first version of Nintendo. Just as those birds fell from the sky I think the Loonie short term is headed south. Most followers are aware I have been…
-
Dollar Dash: Will Bernake Bring Too Much Information to the Forex Table?
The forex market has been rocked this month. The cause? The U.S. dollar fell aggressively against major currencies. The markets aren’t expected to give the U.S. a “pass” on this either. As economic data pours in from the world’s central banks, and from the U.S.’s own Federal Reserve, expect the market to remain volatile. The…
-
The Commodity currencies not out of the woods yet
Energy: Crude oil finished higher for the fourth consecutive week trading within pennies of the $109/barrel level. It looks like an overstretched rubber band in my eyes that should snap back very soon. Those willing to accept a little risk are advised to buy September $100 put options…currently near $500 per. It is apparent I…
-
The Greenback from Two Viewpoints
A very interesting last 30 days…let’s look at the weekly and daily charts on the Almighty Buck. Let me get this straight the greenback rallied on speculation that a rate hike may happen sooner rather than later; higher rates should equate to a stronger dollar. Yesterday Bernanke set the market straight verbalizing that not so…
-
Ags, New Crop Experiencing a Bounce (corn, soybeans, wheat)
A broken clock is correct twice a day…and just sometimes when we look for a bounce or retracement the market delivers. In the last two sessions the Ags have jumped and as of this post corn has climbed 5.7% in the last 2 sessions, soybeans is 4.2% off its lows and wheat (my current pick)…
-
US Dollar, Dead Cat Bounce
If you go back in time and read comments from 2-3 weeks ago I had called for deprecation in the dollar and the market delivered. I only bring this up because the move happened a lot quicker than I anticipated…from the high made 5/23 June futures are lower by 3.3% in just over 2 weeks.…
-
Bearish Engulfing Candle in Gold
Energy: All yesterday’s gains were given back in Crude oil today with losses of 1.75% putting prices under $92/barrel. The 50 day MA has capped upside the last two sessions and until July gets above $94 expect sideways to down action. Above $94 I am a lot friendlier. I continue to trade my bias on…
-
US Dollar; Are the Greenback’s days Numbered?
Let’s look at the US Dollar over the last 3.5 years. With the exception of June 2010, when the dollar traded as high as 88.80, the 84/84.50 level has served as stiff resistance. It appears a triple top pattern is being established on the weekly chart over the last three weeks. The horizontal red line…
-
What’s Changed because Interest Rates Have not yet…
Let’s check the scorecard. I penned a report on 3/27, just two months ago, titled “Interest Rates – A Ticking time bomb.” In this, I made the bold claim that a bearish play on the Eurodollar has the potential to be the biggest trade of my career. This is not a quick “in and out”…