Tag: Futures contract
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Fat Cattle need to go on a Diet
Record high after record high with April live cattle trading near $140 yesterday before stalling. The red horizontal line drawn on the chart below serves as my line in the sand. It will take a settlement below $139 to confirm an interim top. Ultimately I see futures on this contract trading back to the trend…
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Crude oil – Holding Support Lets Get Involved
Since putting in an interim top on 12/27 just below $101/barrel WTI futures have retraced losing almost $10/barrel. The first red horizontal line is seen on March futures near $91.50 and under that level support comes in at $90. It will take a settlement above the 8 day MA(orange line) for confirmation which I expect…
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Picking a Bottom in Ags – Soybean oil
The story for months has been slack demand for Agriculture and increasing global production. Hence wheat currently trading under three year lows and corn trading under 2 year lows. Soybean oil has not escaped the black cloud that has been hanging over this sector either as seen on chart below clearly there has been a…
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Coffee Getting support from the Funds
As of this post coffee prices are higher by 4.44% with prices approaching previous resistance just below the 50 day MA (light blue line) that was challenged last week. Prices appear to be on the rise as money managers bought the dip this week when prices were trading near three weeks lows. I anticipate funds piling into coffee longs next week buying upwards of 10,000 contracts as they re-balance their positions at the…
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The Loonie…A Broken Wing but it Can Still Fly
Today is December 5th and it looks like it may be the first positive session in the Canadian dollar in 10 sessions. Future traded to their lowest levels since May of 2010 yesterday but for now it appears .9350 will be the line in the sand in December futures. One cannot look at the Canadian…
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Why Agricultural Commodities May Be A Good Investment
For investors in the United States, 2013 has been the year for buying stocks. So far, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is up a little over 22%, and prospects are that it will keep on rising at least through the end of the year. However, there are increasing noises from concerned investors about whether or…
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A Reversal in the Debt Complex
Since establishing an interim top this has been a one way trade since the beginning of May where the long end and short end of the curve has gotten hit. 30-yr bonds have depreciated 12%, 10-yr notes are lower by 7% and the March 16’ Eurodollar futures are lower by 1.3%. Lets quantify this…what are…
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Cocoa – How NOT being in the Market can make you $$
First let’s address the move in cocoa today…that had futures higher by 3.19% and intra-day trading to their highest levels in three months. Last week one can see that we found support at the 20 day MA (light blue line) as futures danced that line for five sessions before the acceleration today. Weather related news…
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FCOJ – A Retracement Ahead
On the one month relative performance OJ has been the best performer with November futures higher by 12% as of this post. Me being a contrarian I’d like to fade this appreciation with clients. As one can see prices have been running into resistance for the last two weeks just above current trade as identified…