October Crude oil recently traded above $112/barrel but as of this post futures are trading $5 under that level below its 8 day MA (orange line). I often use the 8 day MA and 18 day MA as key pivot points when navigating the energy sector and as one can see on the chart below […]
Yesterday we saw an unexpected rise in fuel products reported by the API. According to the API Crude stockpiles fell 999,000 barrels last week but gasoline stockpiles rose 1.7M barrels and distillates rose 1.1M barrels. The EIA out today reported a slightly more bullish figure showing oil stockpiles falling 2.8M barrels. The EIA also indicated […]
High to low on the week Crude oil jumped $6/barrel but front month futures failed above $108 just as that level capped upside on 7/19 and again on 7/22. Crude oil fell short of its contract highs by 11 cents and has traded south since. Early support came from upbeat news out of China and […]
Buying Brent and selling WTI Crude oil is what will be discussed today. In the September contract this spread is currently trading with Brent carrying a $2.65 premium. Just one week ago we were trading even money in this spread. Every $1 move equates to a $1,000 gain/loss. I’m operating under the influence that we […]
In the last three weeks Crude oil futures have appreciated 15% lifting prices to 14 month highs. Since lows were established on 4/18 prices have advanced nearly 25%. This will not continue at least at this velocity and in fact at the moment I feel prices have gotten ahead of themselves and we could see […]
Crude oil futures have advanced 13% in the last three weeks cutting through the $100 level like a hot knife through butter lifting futures to fresh 14 month highs. I anticipated a probe of this level as seen in previous posts but I did not see this type of acceleration. I was wrong. Much of […]
In the last 10 weeks Crude oil has added $12/barrel lifting prices as of this post to four month highs with August futures flirting with the $100/barrel level. Not that the fundamentals have mattered in the energy complex but Crude oil inventories are at the highest levels they’ve been in years. For the last 10 […]
In the last three weeks Crude oil prices have risen better than $10/barrel trading within $1 of two month highs albeit very briefly Sunday evening. The failed spike higher in recent session can be attributed to unrest in the Middle East. As attention turned towards potential conflicts on Israeli airstrikes in Syria over the weekend… […]
Crude oil had been a one-sided trade since the start of April until the last few days, falling $12/barrel high to low. Bolstered by sellers who have called the commodity bull market dead, oil got dragged lower and struggled to find its footing until recently. But wait… fast-forward to this week… not only has crude […]
Petroleum prices have rebounded slightly but remain depressed near the bottom end of the current range. The recent barrage of weaker than expected economic data and the realization that the US could become an oil exporter has placed pressure on crude oil prices, driving WTI down below 95 per barrel. Inventory from the Department of […]
