Tag: Ratio spread

  • Gold – Yellow Metal Running into Resistance

    In the last two weeks gold has put on better than $100/ounce trading to its highest level since mid-June. Upside was capped at its 100 day MA (red line) and trend line (blue line) that has been present for all of 13’. More impressive has been the move since bottoming on 6/28 at $1183 as…

  • Cotton – Have we Priced out Exports for the Moment?

    Adverse price movement can affect exports levels in commodities. In other words if prices are low enough it may entice higher exports while prices appreciating too high have the ability to discourage exports. Cotton futures are flat today as of this post unable to make it to the previous session’s highs. Net export sales for…

  • Natural gas – Wear gloves when catching a falling knife

    Natural gas – Wear gloves when catching a falling knife

    Natural gas has traded lower the last 6 sessions and is currently trading off the lowest levels in 13’. Looking back 16 months one can identify on the chart below that a gap was filled from 4/23 this week. Stochastics are showing the most oversold conditions in 5 weeks when futures managed to rally 30…

  • Bullish engulfing candle in 10-yr notes

    Energy: Today’s chart of the day was on Crude oil…give it a read. If we see follow through into next week it will confirm for the second time that $108 is stiff resistance. I am operating under the influence that is how we play out and this could drag futures under $100/barrel. As of this…

  • Cocoa makes your Milky Way cost less in Two Months?

    Cocoa makes your Milky Way cost less in Two Months?

    Global food prices rose 1% in April, with levels now only 9% below the peak reached in February 2011, according to the United Nations. This was driven predominantly by a sharp rise in dairy prices. Considering that I can count on one hand how many times my clients and I have traded milk futures… I’m…